Years lived with disability (YLDs) for 1160 sequelae of 289 diseases and injuries 1990-2010: a systematic analysis for the Global Burden of Disease Study 2010

Years lived with disability (YLDs) for 1160 sequelae of 289 diseases and injuries 1990-2010: a systematic analysis for the Global Burden of Disease Study 2010

Author Vos, Theo Google Scholar
Flaxman, Abraham D. Google Scholar
Naghavi, Mohsen Google Scholar
Lozano, Rafael Google Scholar
Michaud, Catherine Google Scholar
Ezzati, Majid Google Scholar
Shibuya, Kenji Google Scholar
Salomon, Joshua A. Google Scholar
Abdalla, Safa Google Scholar
Aboyans, Victor Google Scholar
Abraham, Jerry Google Scholar
Ackerman, Ilana Google Scholar
Aggarwal, Rakesh Google Scholar
Ahn, Stephanie Y. Google Scholar
Ali, Mohammed K. Google Scholar
Alvarado, Miriam Google Scholar
Anderson, H. Ross Google Scholar
Anderson, Laurie M. Google Scholar
Andrews, Kathryn G. Google Scholar
Atkinson, Charles Google Scholar
Baddour, Larry M. Google Scholar
Bahalim, Adil N. Google Scholar
Barker-Collo, Suzanne Google Scholar
Barrero, Lope H. Google Scholar
Bartels, David H. Google Scholar
Basanez, Maria-Gloria Google Scholar
Baxter, Amanda Google Scholar
Bell, Michelle L. Google Scholar
Benjamin, Emelia J. Google Scholar
Bennett, Derrick Google Scholar
Bernabe, Eduardo Google Scholar
Bhalla, Kavi Google Scholar
Bhandari, Bishal Google Scholar
Bikbov, Boris Google Scholar
Bin Abdulhak, Aref Google Scholar
Birbeck, Gretchen Google Scholar
Black, James A. Google Scholar
Blencowe, Hannah Google Scholar
Blore, Jed D. Google Scholar
Blyth, Fiona Google Scholar
Bolliger, Ian Google Scholar
Bonaventure, Audrey Google Scholar
Boufous, Soufi Ane Google Scholar
Bourne, Rupert Google Scholar
Boussinesq, Michel Google Scholar
Braithwaite, Tasanee Google Scholar
Brayne, Carol Google Scholar
Bridgett, Lisa Google Scholar
Brooker, Simon Google Scholar
Brooks, Peter Google Scholar
Brugha, Traolach S. Google Scholar
Bryan-Hancock, Claire Google Scholar
Bucello, Chiara Google Scholar
Buchbinder, Rachelle Google Scholar
Buckle, Geoff Rey Google Scholar
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Burch, Michael Google Scholar
Burney, Peter Google Scholar
Burstein, Roy Google Scholar
Calabria, Bianca Google Scholar
Campbell, Benjamin Google Scholar
Canter, Charles E. Google Scholar
Carabin, Helene Google Scholar
Carapetis, Jonathan Google Scholar
Carmona, Loreto Google Scholar
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Colson, K. Ellicott Google Scholar
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Corriere, Matthew Google Scholar
Cortinovis, Monica Google Scholar
Vaccaro, Karen Courville de Google Scholar
Couser, William Google Scholar
Cowie, Benjamin C. Google Scholar
Criqui, Michael H. Google Scholar
Cross, Marita Google Scholar
Dabhadkar, Kaustubh C. Google Scholar
Dahiya, Manu Google Scholar
Dahodwala, Nabila Google Scholar
Damsere-Derry, James Google Scholar
Danaei, Goodarz Google Scholar
Davis, Adrian Google Scholar
De Leo, Diego Google Scholar
Degenhardt, Louisa Google Scholar
Dellavalle, Robert Google Scholar
Delossantos, Allyne Google Scholar
Denenberg, Julie Google Scholar
Derrett, Sarah Google Scholar
Des Jarlais, Don C. Google Scholar
Dharmaratne, Samath D. Google Scholar
Dherani, Mukesh Google Scholar
Diaz-Torne, Cesar Google Scholar
Dolk, Helen Google Scholar
Dorsey, E. Ray Google Scholar
Driscoll, Tim Google Scholar
Duber, Herbert Google Scholar
Ebel, Beth Google Scholar
Edmond, Karen Google Scholar
Elbaz, Alexis Google Scholar
Ali, Suad Eltahir Google Scholar
Erskine, Holly Google Scholar
Erwin, Patricia J. Google Scholar
Espindola, Patricia Google Scholar
Ewoigbokhan, Stalin E. Google Scholar
Farzadfar, Farshad Google Scholar
Feigin, Valery Google Scholar
Felson, David T. Google Scholar
Ferrari, Alize Google Scholar
Ferri, Cleusa P. Google Scholar
Fevre, Eric M. Google Scholar
Finucane, Mariel M. Google Scholar
Flaxman, Seth Google Scholar
Flood, Louise Google Scholar
Foreman, Kyle Google Scholar
Forouzanfar, Mohammad H. Google Scholar
Fowkes, Francis Gerry R. Google Scholar
Franklin, Richard Google Scholar
Fransen, Marlene Google Scholar
Freeman, Michael K. Google Scholar
Gabbe, Belinda J. Google Scholar
Gabriel, Sherine E. Google Scholar
Gakidou, Emmanuela Google Scholar
Ganatra, Hammad A. Google Scholar
Garcia, Bianca Google Scholar
Gaspari, Flavio Google Scholar
Gillum, Richard F. Google Scholar
Gmel, Gerhard Google Scholar
Gosselin, Richard Google Scholar
Grainger, Rebecca Google Scholar
Groeger, Justina Google Scholar
Guillemin, Francis Google Scholar
Gunnell, David Google Scholar
Gupta, Ramyani Google Scholar
Haagsma, Juanita Google Scholar
Hagan, Holly Google Scholar
Halasa, Yara A. Google Scholar
Hall, Wayne Google Scholar
Haring, Diana Google Scholar
Maria Haro, Josep Google Scholar
Harrison, James E. Google Scholar
Havmoeller, Rasmus Google Scholar
Hay, Roderick J. Google Scholar
Higashi, Hideki Google Scholar
Hill, Catherine Google Scholar
Hoen, Bruno Google Scholar
Hoffman, Howard Google Scholar
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Hoy, Damian Google Scholar
Huang, John J. Google Scholar
Ibeanusi, Sydney E. Google Scholar
Jacobsen, Kathryn H. Google Scholar
James, Spencer L. Google Scholar
Jarvis, Deborah Google Scholar
Jasrasaria, Rashmi Google Scholar
Jayaraman, Sudha Google Scholar
Johns, Nicole Google Scholar
Jonas, Jost B. Google Scholar
Karthikeyan, Ganesan Google Scholar
Kassebaum, Nicholas Google Scholar
Kawakami, Norito Google Scholar
Keren, Andre Google Scholar
Khoo, Jon-Paul Google Scholar
King, Charles H. Google Scholar
Knowlton, Lisa Marie Google Scholar
Kobusingye, Olive Google Scholar
Koranteng, Adofo Google Scholar
Krishnamurthi, Rita Google Scholar
Lalloo, Ratilal Google Scholar
Laslett, Laura L. Google Scholar
Lathlean, Tim Google Scholar
Leasher, Janet L. Google Scholar
Lee, Yong Yi Google Scholar
Leigh, James Google Scholar
Lim, Stephen S. Google Scholar
Limb, Elizabeth Google Scholar
Lin, John Kent Google Scholar
Lipnick, Michael Google Scholar
Lipshultz, Steven E. Google Scholar
Liu, Wei Google Scholar
Loane, Maria Google Scholar
Ohno, Summer Lockett Google Scholar
Lyons, Ronan Google Scholar
Ma, Jixiang Google Scholar
Mabweijano, Jacqueline Google Scholar
MacIntyre, Michael F. Google Scholar
Malekzadeh, Reza Google Scholar
Mallinger, Leslie Google Scholar
Manivannan, Sivabalan Google Scholar
Marcenes, Wagner Google Scholar
March, Lyn Google Scholar
Margolis, David J. Google Scholar
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Matzopoulos, Richard Google Scholar
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Naidoo, Kovin Google Scholar
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Narayan, K. M. Venkat Google Scholar
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Nolte, Sandra Google Scholar
Norman, Paul Google Scholar
Norman, Rosana Google Scholar
O'Donnell, Martin Google Scholar
O'Hanlon, Simon Google Scholar
Olives, Casey Google Scholar
Omer, Saad B. Google Scholar
Ortblad, Katrina Google Scholar
Osborne, Richard Google Scholar
Ozgediz, Doruk Google Scholar
Page, Andrew Google Scholar
Pahari, Bishnu Google Scholar
Pandian, Jeyaraj Durai Google Scholar
Rivero, Andrea Panozo Google Scholar
Patten, Scott B. Google Scholar
Pearce, Neil Google Scholar
Perez Padilla, Rogelio Google Scholar
Perez-Ruiz, Fernando Google Scholar
Perico, Norberto Google Scholar
Pesudovs, Konrad Google Scholar
Phillips, David Google Scholar
Phillips, Michael R. Google Scholar
Pierce, Kelsey Google Scholar
Pion, Sebastien Google Scholar
Polanczyk, Guilherme Vanoni Autor UNIFESP Google Scholar
Polinder, Suzanne Google Scholar
Pope, C. Arden Google Scholar
Popova, Svetlana Google Scholar
Porrini, Esteban Google Scholar
Pourmalek, Farshad Google Scholar
Prince, Martin Google Scholar
Pullan, Rachel L. Google Scholar
Ramaiah, Kapa D. Google Scholar
Ranganathan, Dharani Google Scholar
Razavi, Homie Google Scholar
Regan, Mathilda Google Scholar
Rehm, Juergen T. Google Scholar
Rein, David B. Google Scholar
Remuzzi, Guiseppe Google Scholar
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Rivara, Frederick P. Google Scholar
Roberts, Thomas Google Scholar
Robinson, Carolyn Google Scholar
De Leon, Felipe Rodriguez Google Scholar
Ronfani, Luca Google Scholar
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Rosenfeld, Lisa C. Google Scholar
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Sacco, Ralph L. Google Scholar
Saha, Sukanta Google Scholar
Sampson, Uchechukwu Google Scholar
Sanchez-Riera, Lidia Google Scholar
Sanman, Ella Google Scholar
Schwebel, David C. Google Scholar
Scott, James Graham Google Scholar
Segui-Gomez, Maria Google Scholar
Shahraz, Saeid Google Scholar
Shepard, Donald S. Google Scholar
Shin, Hwashin Google Scholar
Shivakoti, Rupak Google Scholar
Singh, David Google Scholar
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Abstract Background Non-fatal health outcomes from diseases and injuries are a crucial consideration in the promotion and monitoring of individual and population health. The Global Burden of Disease (GBD) studies done in 1990 and 2000 have been the only studies to quantify non-fatal health outcomes across an exhaustive set of disorders at the global and regional level. Neither effort quantified uncertainty in prevalence or years lived with disability (YLDs).Methods Of the 291 diseases and injuries in the GBD cause list, 289 cause disability. For 1160 sequelae of the 289 diseases and injuries, we undertook a systematic analysis of prevalence, incidence, remission, duration, and excess mortality. Sources included published studies, case notification, population-based cancer registries, other disease registries, antenatal clinic serosurveillance, hospital discharge data, ambulatory care data, household surveys, other surveys, and cohort studies. For most sequelae, we used a Bayesian meta-regression method, DisMod-MR, designed to address key limitations in descriptive epidemiological data, including missing data, inconsistency, and large methodological variation between data sources. For some disorders, we used natural history models, geospatial models, back-calculation models (models calculating incidence from population mortality rates and case fatality), or registration completeness models (models adjusting for incomplete registration with health-system access and other covariates). Disability weights for 220 unique health states were used to capture the severity of health loss. YLDs by cause at age, sex, country, and year levels were adjusted for comorbidity with simulation methods. We included uncertainty estimates at all stages of the analysis.Findings Global prevalence for all ages combined in 2010 across the 1160 sequelae ranged from fewer than one case per 1 million people to 350 000 cases per 1 million people. Prevalence and severity of health loss were weakly correlated (correlation coefficient -0.37). In 2010, there were 777 million YLDs from all causes, up from 583 million in 1990. The main contributors to global YLDs were mental and behavioural disorders, musculoskeletal disorders, and diabetes or endocrine diseases. The leading specific causes of YLDs were much the same in 2010 as they were in 1990: low back pain, major depressive disorder, iron-deficiency anaemia, neck pain, chronic obstructive pulmonary disease, anxiety disorders, migraine, diabetes, and falls. Age-specific prevalence of YLDs increased with age in all regions and has decreased slightly from 1990 to 2010. Regional patterns of the leading causes of YLDs were more similar compared with years of life lost due to premature mortality. Neglected tropical diseases, HIV/AIDS, tuberculosis, malaria, and anaemia were important causes of YLDs in sub-Saharan Africa.Interpretation Rates of YLDs per 100 000 people have remained largely constant over time but rise steadily with age. Population growth and ageing have increased YLD numbers and crude rates over the past two decades. Prevalences of the most common causes of YLDs, such as mental and behavioural disorders and musculoskeletal disorders, have not decreased. Health systems will need to address the needs of the rising numbers of individuals with a range of disorders that largely cause disability but not mortality. Quantification of the burden of non-fatal health outcomes will be crucial to understand how well health systems are responding to these challenges. Effective and affordable strategies to deal with this rising burden are an urgent priority for health systems in most parts of the world.
Language English
Sponsor Berlin Heart Honoraria
Lundbeck
Medtronic
Prana Biotechnology
Safework Australia
Assurance-Maladie (CNAMTS) InVS
Inserm
CHU de Nancy
CHU de Nice
Conseil Regional de Lorraine
Societe Francaise de Negma-Lerads
Pfizer
Pierre Fabre Medicaments
Sanofi-Aventis France
Spanish Health Ministry
Hospital de Cruces Rheumatology Association
Novartis
Conselho Nacional de Desenvolvimento Científico e Tecnológico (CNPq)
European Chemical Industry Council (CEFIC)
CONCAWE (Conservation of Clean Air and Water Europe)
Takeda
Savient
Ardea
Regeneron
Allergan
URL pharmaceuticals
36 companies
National Institutes of Arthritis, Musculoskeletal and Skin Diseases (NIAMS)
National Institute on Aging (NIA)
National Cancer Institute (NCI)
Agency for Health Quality and Research Center for Education and Research on Therapeutics (CERTs)
Moscow State University of Medicine and Dentistry, Moscow, Russia
Academician V.I. Shumakov Federal Research Center of Transplantology and Artificial Organs, Moscow, Russia
International Society of Nephrology
Wellcome Trust
Department of Health London for the National Health Service Information Centre
University of Leicester
Australian National Health and Medical Research Council (NHMRC)
Monash University
Cabrini Health
BUPA Foundation
NIH, the National Institute of Environmental Health Sciences
Africa Programme for Onchocerciasis Control (WHO/APOC)
NIH
Parkinson Council
Australian NHMRC
US Department of Veterans Affairs
Health Research Council of New Zealand
University of Otago
National Institute for Stroke and Applied Neurosciences
Swedish Research Council
Bill and Melinda Gates Foundation
Australian National Health and Medical Research Council
World Health Organization
World Mental Health Japan (WMH-J)
Grant for Research on Psychiatric and Neurological Diseases and Mental Health from the Japan Ministry of Health, Labour, and Welfare
Australian Government
National Health and Medical Research Council of Australia
Arthritis Foundation of Australia
Tasmanian Community Fund
Masonic Centenary Medical Research Foundation
Royal Hobart Hospital Research Foundation
University of Tasmania
Tehran University of Medical Sciences
South African Medical Research Council Burden of Disease Research Unit
University of Cape Town School of Public Health and Family Medicine
Brien Holden Vision Institute
National Drug and Alcohol Research Centre (UNSW, Australia)
Intramural Research Program of the National Institute of Diabetes and Digestive and Kidney Diseases
Biostatistics, Epidemiologic and Bioinformatic Training in Environmental Health Training Grant
Burke Global Health Fellowship
Harold Amos Medical Faculty Development Award of the Robert Wood Johnson Foundation
Vanderbilt Clinical and Translational Scholars Award
European Center for Injury Prevention, Universidad de Navarra
National Institute of Environmental Health Sciences
Wellcome Trust UK
Medical Research Council UK
Anthony Cerami and Ann Dunne Research Trust
AUT University
Grant number Wellcome Trust: 098045
Wellcome Trust: 085308
NIH: K23 AG034236
Swedish Research Council: 2011-1071
Grant for Research on Psychiatric and Neurological Diseases and Mental Health from the Japan Ministry of Health, Labour, and Welfare: H13-SHOGAI-023
Grant for Research on Psychiatric and Neurological Diseases and Mental Health from the Japan Ministry of Health, Labour, and Welfare: H14-TOKUBETSU-026
Grant for Research on Psychiatric and Neurological Diseases and Mental Health from the Japan Ministry of Health, Labour, and Welfare: H16-KOKORO-013
Biostatistics, Epidemiologic and Bioinformatic Training in Environmental Health Training Grant: ES015459
National Institute of Environmental Health Sciences: ES00260
Date 2012-12-15
Published in Lancet. New York: Elsevier Science Inc, v. 380, n. 9859, p. 2163-2196, 2012.
ISSN 0140-6736 (Sherpa/Romeo, impact factor)
Publisher Elsevier B.V.
Extent 2163-2196
Origin http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/S0140-6736(12)61729-2
Access rights Closed access
Type Article
Web of Science ID WOS:000312387000015
URI http://repositorio.unifesp.br/11600/44836

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